Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000334 0.000374 0.000419 0.000470 0.000528 0.000593 0.000669
2024-12-22 0.000245 0.000299 0.000363 0.000445 0.000548 0.000673 0.000837
2024-12-29 0.000203 0.000264 0.000341 0.000447 0.000590 0.000777 0.001044
2025-01-05 0.000181 0.000247 0.000336 0.000466 0.000651 0.000910 0.001305
2025-01-12 0.000156 0.000222 0.000314 0.000455 0.000668 0.000982 0.001489
2025-01-19 0.000133 0.000195 0.000287 0.000432 0.000662 0.001016 0.001618
2025-01-26 0.000121 0.000184 0.000279 0.000437 0.000696 0.001115 0.001862
2025-02-02 0.000115 0.000180 0.000283 0.000458 0.000759 0.001266 0.002216
2025-02-09 0.000104 0.000168 0.000271 0.000454 0.000777 0.001345 0.002455
2025-02-16 0.000097 0.000161 0.000266 0.000459 0.000812 0.001456 0.002769
2025-02-23 0.000089 0.000151 0.000256 0.000454 0.000829 0.001536 0.003034
2025-03-02 0.000083 0.000144 0.000250 0.000455 0.000856 0.001638 0.003360
2025-03-09 0.000077 0.000137 0.000244 0.000457 0.000886 0.001754 0.003747
2025-03-16 0.000069 0.000125 0.000228 0.000437 0.000872 0.001779 0.003941
2025-03-23 0.000065 0.000120 0.000223 0.000439 0.000903 0.001905 0.004393
2025-03-30 0.000062 0.000118 0.000226 0.000457 0.000971 0.002122 0.005102
2025-04-06 0.000057 0.000111 0.000216 0.000447 0.000975 0.002194 0.005468
2025-04-13 0.000052 0.000101 0.000201 0.000425 0.000948 0.002190 0.005634
2025-04-20 0.000049 0.000098 0.000198 0.000429 0.000984 0.002344 0.006257
2025-04-27 0.000048 0.000098 0.000203 0.000450 0.001062 0.002614 0.007266
2025-05-04 0.000045 0.000093 0.000196 0.000446 0.001078 0.002726 0.007838
2025-05-11 0.000043 0.000091 0.000194 0.000451 0.001117 0.002907 0.008664
2025-05-18 0.000041 0.000087 0.000189 0.000446 0.001132 0.003023 0.009309